Charlie Crist Holds Narrow Lead on Rick Scott in Q-Poll

Quinnipiac University released a poll on Monday morning which shows Gov. Rick Scott and former Gov. Charlie Crist running close in Florida with supporters of Libertarian Adrain Wyllie and undecideds holding the balance of power.

The poll shows Crist at 42 percent with Scott right on his heels at 41 percent while Wyllie takes 7 percent and 9 percent are undecided. When Wyllie is left out, Crists lead creeps up to 44 percent.

There is a gender gap in Florida according to the poll as 50 percent of women go for Crist while only 35 percent back Scott. Among men, Scott takes 47 percent while Crist musters only 34 percent. Wyllie gets 8 percent of men and 6 percent of women. Both candidates have nailed down their bases with 84 percent of Democrats for Crist and 81 percent of Republicans behind Scott. Crist leads among independents with 39 percent while 32 percent prefer Scott and 16 percent back Wyllie.

One big factor could be how Wyllie supporters cast their ballots on Tuesday. Only 78 percent of Wyllie voters are definitely voting for him as opposed to 96 percent of Scott and Crist voters saying they will stick with their candidates.

Both major party candidates are upside down. Half -- 50 percent -- of those surveyed view Crist as unfavorable while 43 percent see him in a favorable light. Scott gets similar numbers: 49 percent unfavorable, 42 percent favorable. Most -- 83 percent -- voters dont know enough about Wyllie to offer an opinion while 9 percent view him as favorable and 5 percent see him as unfavorable.

"After an incredibly expensive, extremely nasty campaign, the Florida governor's race is too close to call, said Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll. The winner will be the candidate best able to get his voters to the polls. Turnout, turnout, turnout.

The poll of 817 likely voters was taken from Oct. 28-Nov. 2 and had a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent.

From Oct. 28-Nov. 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 817 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.