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Politics

Rubio Still the Man to Beat in Florida Senate Race

October 5, 2016 - 1:30pm
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio

In the latest Quinnipiac University swing-state poll of U.S. Senate races, Republican Marco Rubio is on the plus side of a too-close-to-call reelection battle in Florida. The poll was released at noon.

Quinnipiac shows Rubio at 48 percent with Murphy at 44 percent. That compares to a 50-43 percent lead Rubio enjoyed Sept. 9.

The Florida U.S. Senate race has a yawning gender gap among likely voters, as men back Sen. Marco Rubio 59-30 percent, while women back U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy 57-38 percent. Rubio leads 86-6 percent among Republicans and 52-41 percent among independent voters. Murphy takes Democrats 84-9 percent. 

"Sen. Marco Rubio has led in the polls for reelection since he changed his mind and decided to seek a second term. But his margin over U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, the Democratic challenger, has never been large enough to make Sen. Rubio comfortable," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Rubio, who was helping communities prepare for Hurricane Matthew today, was unavailable to comment on the poll results.

"He's been on the radio, trying to make sure citizens avoid danger as best they can," said a staffer at Rubio headquarters. (You can listen to Rubio's WJNO interview about storm preparations here.)

Besides Florida, Quinnipiac's swing state poll produced results in these states:

  • North Carolina: Republican incumbent Sen. Richard Burr and Democratic challenger Deborah Ross tied 46-46 percent, compared to a 49-43 percent Burr lead Sept. 9;
  • Ohio: GOP incumbent Sen. Rob Portman leads former Gov. Ted Strickland, his Democratic challenger, 55-38 percent, up from a 51-40 percent Portman lead last month;
  • Pennsylvania: Republican incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey leads Democratic challenger Katie McGinty 50-42 percent, compared to Sept. 9, when he had 46 percent to McGinty's 45 percent.

"It looks like the battle to control the U.S. Senate will go down to the campaign's final days. The races in North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania could decide the matter," said Brown.

In Florida -- from Sept. 27-Oct. 2 -- Quinnipiac used live interviewers calling on land lines and cell phones to survey 545 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation, as a public service and for research. 

For more of the poll's details, click here

Reach Nancy Smith at nsmithsunshinestatenews.com or at 228-282-2423. Twitter: @NancyLBSmith

Comments

Women vote more than men do and many republicans because of Trump won't even show up......... And still enough timd for Rubio and Trump to be known for just what they are, money changers for the rich, not you.

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