Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a dead heat in Florida, the largest swing state on the map.
Quinnipiac University released a poll of likely Florida voters on Tuesday showing Clinton and Trump pulling 43 percent apiece while 7 percent back Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3 percent are for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. When the minor party candidates are taken out of the mix, Clinton has the narrowest of leads with 46 percent and Trump right behind her at 45 percent. Trump was leading by 5 percent in a Quinnipiac poll of Florida last month.
"The closeness of the Florida race is seen inside the numbers,” said Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, on Tuesday. “Independent voters are split 42 - 41 percent; she leads by 13 percent among women, while he is up 12 points among men. They have the same favorable rating among voters, 39 percent.”
Women go for Clinton 53 percent to 40 percent while men prefer Trump 51 percent to 39 percent. White voters break Trump’s way 57 percent to 36 percent but Clinton gets 68 percent of non-whites while 21 percent are for Trump. Both candidates have nailed down the party base with Trump taking 91 percent of Republicans while Clinton reels in 89 percent of Democrats.
Both candidates are upside down in Florida with 39 percent seeing Trump and Clinton as favorable. Clinton is seen as unfavorable by 55 percent while 54 percent see Trump as unfavorable.
President Barack Obama is seen as favorable by 53 percent but 43 percent see him unfavorably. Michelle Obama gets better marks in Florida with 61 percent seeing her as favorable and 27 percent viewing her in an unfavorable light.
Former President Bill Clinton is seen as favorable by 53 percent though 40 percent see him unfavorably. Melania Trump is far less known with 43 percent saying they need to know more about her but 31 percent see her as favorable while 23 percent see her unfavorably.
A majority of Trump backers--54 percent--say they are more driven by voting against Clinton than supporting the Republican candidate though 29 percent say they are more pro-Trump than anti-Clinton. The Democrat’s supporters are more divided with 42 percent saying they are more driven by their support for Clinton but 41 percent saying they are more anti-Trump than pro-Clinton.
The poll of 1,056 likely Florida voters was taken from July 30-August 7 and had a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.