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Donald Trump Holds Narrow Lead Over Democrats in New Poll of Florida

September 18, 2019 - 2:00pm

A new poll shows President Donald Trump with a narrow lead in the Sunshine State. Trump won Florida in 2016 and it’s a must-win state for his reelection prospects. 

Florida Atlantic University’s (FAU) Business and Economics Polling Initiative (BEPI) released a poll on Wednesday looking at the president’s standing in the state. 

Trump has the approval of 49 percent of Florida voters while 46 percent of those surveyed disapprove of him. 

Looking at potential head-to-head matches for November 2020, Trump holds narrow leads over potential Democratic challengers. Trump leads former Vice President Joe Biden 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The president also leads U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., by the same margin. U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., comes closest but Trump edges her 50.1 percent to 49.9 percent. Trump does best against U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., beating her 52 percent to 48 percent. 

FAU also looked at the Florida Republican primary which will be held on March 17. Trump is in excellent shape with Florida Republicans, taking 85 percent of them. Former Gov. and U.S. Rep. Mark Sanford, R-SC, places a distant second with 8 percent followed by former U.S. Rep. Joe Walsh, R-Ill., with 5 percent and former Gov. Bill Weld, R-Mass., with 2 percent. 

The poll shows 75 percent of Florida voters back universal background checks for all gun buyers while 14 percent oppose the idea. Asked about tariffs on Chinese goods, 40 percent of voters think it hurts Americans while 33 percent helps the U.S. and 27 percent say they will have no impact. 

“It seems that the majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents agree on universal background checks,” said Monica Escaleras, the director of the FAU BEPI. “However, if tariffs become a central issue in the presidential election, then Independents appear to be more aligned with Democrats.”

Asked about the most important issues,  21 of those surveyed say the economy, 19 percent point to immigration, 18 percent said healthcare and 11 percent said the environment.

The poll of 934 Florida voters was taken from Sept. 12 through Sept. 15 and had a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. The sample looking at the Republican primary over the same dates had a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percent. 


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Santis has amazing +28% approval rating. Maybe he could mentor Pres Trump in how to be wildly popular in Florida? Just a suggestion "A majority of Floridians approve of Gov. Ron DeSantis’ job performance so far, according to a statewide St. Pete Polls survey released Monday. Of those surveyed, 58 percent indicated a favorable opinion of DeSantis, while only 30 percent had an unfavorable view".

Yes libtards, senile Joe and pocahontas have a great shot. Get ready to cry again. Trump 2020!

As an independent, your statement that independents might be more aligned with Democrats (because of tariffs) is a laughable joke. I don't like the Republican party because they're wimps. However, the Democrat party is pure evil, absolute pure evil. I've seen the group of Dorkocrats that want to become dictator. There ain't a chance in hell that I'd vote for any of those evil freaks.

There are still 16 months for Chump to piss people off or disgust them and he seems to be getting better at it...……..It also shows how fiscally and morally bankrupt repubs are with the double Obama's deficit with a $1.1T/yr deficit and growing in a growing economy!!

Obozo was, and still is, an inept jackass.

Last election this same poll said Trump was behind by 8%. MAKE THEM CRY AGAIN!

Trump lost the popular vote in 2016 by 3,000,000 votes, and only won the presidency in the anachronistic Electoral College vote based entirely on the coincidental positioning of some 70,000 votes spread over three different states. He's got a better chance of winning the Florida lottery than having that same freakish coincidence occur again. And, there's no question that by his words and deeds, he's turned-off a whole bunch of voters who voted for him in 2016 - ESPECIALLY a lot of white women - plus - the Republican-generated 'anti-Hillary' vote won't be there, either. And, of course, if Florida or Texas should vote Democratic - he definitely loses. If BOTH vote Democratic - he gets totally creamed in a total landslide! Personally, I believe the demographics in Florida have changed sufficiently to swing the vote to the Democrats. As Humpty Trumpty says, "we'll see!".

Trump's going lose in 2020 no matter how Florida votes and no matter who the Democratic nominee is. BUT

Wow! Anonymous? You have such courage in your convictions!

Yes, and Adolph Rodham Hitlary has a 98% likelihood of winning. We've heard that before.

I am so sick of your tribal Hillary bashing. If she had been rightfully elected we would have a hell of a lot better President than what we have right now. Trump is a total embarrassment and disaster nationally and internationally. Racism, ignorance and xenophobia are keeping him popular. Governing is not a reality show. There are serious consequences for illogical, poor policy making and leadership. His mad decision making may please his base but for much of the world it is terrifying. When our economy actually starts to show the effects of his trade war with China we will see who is popular. We will reap the effects of his role backs on environmental law and his refusal to join international efforts to reduce the effects of climate change for eternity. Our children, grandchildren, great grandchildren and on down the line are going to suffer most grievously for our wasting of the environment. He may be popular now but history will show him to be one of the worst presidents we have ever had. I prefer any of the 2020 Democratic candidates to him. He is an authoritarian in clowns clothing. If we have a second term with Trump our democracy will never be the same.

Love this truthful comment wish we had Hillary rather than this nut Trump !! I hope Biden runs over him as Democratic opponent but will vote for anyone nominated to beat Trump !!

President Trump is the best thing that's happened to America since President Reagan. Hillary is the symptom of a deadly disease. The ignorant fools that voted for Hillary are part of the disease. The Democrat party is the most dangerous terrorist organization to have threatened America.

Yeah right, only in this toilet poll...Baahaahaa

Appears pollsters get more brain dead by the day. Leftist indoctrination rules.

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