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Bill Nelson Out Front of Rick Scott in Latest Q-Poll

September 25, 2018 - 1:30pm
Bill Nelson and Rick Scott
Bill Nelson and Rick Scott

While most recent polls have shown a very close race, a new survey from Quinnipiac University finds U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., with a solid lead over Republican challenger Gov. Rick Scott. 

In sharp contrast to a Quinnipiac poll taken in the first week of September which had both candidates taking 49 percent, the new poll of likely voters has Nelson with 53 percent and Scott at 46 percent. 

Nelson takes 58 percent of women while 41 percent back Scott though men prefer the governor 51 percent to 47 percent. White voters go for Scott 53 percent to 45 percent but black voters break 90 percent to 10 percent for Nelson while Hispanics back the Democrat 61 percent to 39 percent. 

Both candidates have secured their party bases with Nelson getting 94 percent of Democrats while 89 percent of Republicans back Scott. Nelson leads with voters outside the major parties 56 percent to 40 percent. 

With six weeks to go, the overwhelming majority of voters behind either Scott and Nelson--94 percent--say their mind is made up on who they will back. 

A majority of those surveyed--53 percent--see Nelson as favorable while 41 percent view him as unfavorable. Unlike most recent polls which show the governor above water, Scott is seen as favorable by 46 percent while 51 see him as unfavorable. President Donald Trump is approved  44 percent while 54 percent disapprove of him. 

"Sen. Bill Nelson has edged ahead of Gov. Rick Scott in the race for one of Florida's U.S. Senate seats, breaking a 49 - 49 percent tie between the two men in the previous Quinnipiac University poll of this race earlier this month," said Peter  Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, on Tuesday. "Sen. Nelson is ahead 53 - 46 percent by doing a tad better than Gov. Scott with their respective bases and holding a 16-point lead among the key independent voting bloc. Nelson also leads among women and is breaking even among men - the traditional path to a Democratic victory. 

"A Nelson win would be a big boost for Democratic hopes of wresting control of the U.S. Senate from the GOP,” Brown added. 

A majority of those surveyed-- 56 percent--want Congress to be "more of a check on President Trump," while 30 percent say "Congress is doing enough to be a check on President Trump." 

Asked what the most important issue in the Senate election is, 26 percent say healthcare, 19 percent say the economy, 18 percent say immigration, 15 percent say the Supreme Court and 12 percent say gun policy. 

Asked if Judge Brett Kavanaugh should serve on the U.S. Supreme Court, 47 percent say yes and 48 percent say no. There is a gender gap on the matter with 55 percent of men saying yes and 54 percent of women saying no. 

The poll of 888 likely Florida voters was taken from Sept. 20-Sept. 24 and had a margin of error of +/- 4 percent. 


Andrew Gillum Ahead of Ron DeSantis; Rick Scott and Bill Nelson Tied in New Poll

Rick Scott, Andrew Gillum Lead in New Poll


It looks like Rick Scott's $30 million dollars of negative ads run against Bill Nelson all summer did not work because they're both tied or he is losing in all the ten post primary polls released. It looks like he's not getting his bang for his money! Ouch! It's not going to be easy to knock Sen Nelson out because he belongs to the oldtime moderate centrist independent Florida Democrats like Bob Graham, Reuben Askew or Lawton Chiles ! Just ask Jeb Bush and Connie Mack Jr ! They tried and lost ! It looks like Rick Scott will be retiring with all those old white rich guys down in Naples!

Glad to see you're finally putting your name on the "SSN" banner extolling this ongoing "polling nonsense" Kevin...(NOW, it's just like "old times", way back in 2016) !

NBC/Marist poll just came out, both Dems ahead in that one too. Two outlier polls, what a coincidence. Ricky, could we possibly be almost through with you? I predicted the Independents would finish you...I feel like Jeanne Dixon!

But I thought Rick Scott moved to Puerto Rico.

Get serious... BILL NELSON? WHAT has done lately? NOTHING! He's never run anything except his Mouth.

Common sense, decency, smarts, experience and character. Bill Nelson has worked for Florida, not Texas, for his time in public service. This election is about trust and integrity.

I'd like to thank the Trifecta of DeSantis, Scott and Trump for being such awful candidates and Dems peaking just at the right time...…………..I'd like to thank them for shrinking the repub party to here they have a hard time in Florida...………….Trump and DeSantis for being such disgusting racists with no platform and Scott, well is Scott, about as lovable as a wild skunk. …………...Yes repubs you have outdone yourself, waking up decent people everywhere we need to end the blight you have brought on us.

Don't be so *** the wild skunks, please.

The filter has attributed a filthy connotation to the words "hard" and "on." Sorry.

It's Gramps vs. Snidely Whiplash.

Nobody wants Red Tide Rick. It was on Scott's watch that toxic green algae blooms twice invaded south central Florida and created red tide crises that brought critical scrutiny to Scott's long, poor environmental record. As governor, Scott opposed stricter federal water quality rules, cut the budgets of five regional water management districts, abolished the state growth management agency, reduced state monitoring of waterways and repealed a septic tank inspection law.

unfortunately, in politics, anything over 30 days it's an absolute eternity. The month of October is always full of surprises, and we haven't even gotten to the 1st of October. I live in a county in Florida that was supposed to overwhelmingly, according to polls, go for Hillary Clinton. For the first time in a long time it went Republican. Many people, particularly conservatives, are very hesitant to answer to polls as they might have once been. I know for myself, I've only been polled twice in 40 years. One time, when they found out my basic party affiliation, they said thank you and hung up. Frankly, there is a sufficient number of people that will either tell you what you want to hear, or tell you nothing at all, which is affecting the margin of error more than they would like to admit.

Bob, how's that St Lucie river estuary looking these days? You really want to double down on this guy?

Yes, you make many good points. But don't forget there is a month of Donald Trump stunts on the way as well. He wants to deny Puerto Rico statehood because the mayor of San Juan disses him. How petty and ridiculous can a human be? He'll continue to show us day after day until the election. Please Mr. Trump come to Florida and hold some rallies. Tell us again how the press is the enemy of the people. Tell us again how big your inauguration crowd was. After all Mr. Trump it's all about you, and if you want to destroy the Republican party...go for it!

Too Funny!! Trump was just on TV at the UN proclaiming the US is the best it's ever been because of him and the delegates started laughing at him, trying to hold it in but couldn't.!!

Nelson will win due to Gillum enthusiasm And expected high Democratic turnout . Women voters turned off by Supreme Court turmoil will also be a factor Red Tide Rick opposition will contribute to Nelson win

Go, go, go, Mr. Bill! The faster this state can shed Shouldabenafelon Scott and repair the damage he's caused, the better! (Typical Scott failure: WalletHub has just listed Florida as the third worst state for teachers (47th out of 50) in the nation. If the state sucks so badly for teachers ... can you imagine the quality of education that Florida kids are getting???)

who cares, vote for who you think will do best...

Vote for who will do the least damage.

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